Apple Inc.Opportunity Rank #163(AAPL) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$251.49
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
The intrinsic value of Apple Inc. (AAPL) is estimated at $179.84 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $251.49, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.63% long-term growth rate and a 9.14% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Apple Inc. (AAPL) is estimated at $179.84 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $251.49, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.63% long-term growth rate and a 9.14% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- ROIC remains above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters.
- Narrative score shows meaningful directional shifts.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Apple Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Apple Inc.Technology
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV+, which offers exclusive original content; Apple Card, a co-branded credit card; and Apple Pay, a cashless payment service, as well as licenses its intellectual property. The company serves consumers, and small and mid-sized businesses; and the education, enterprise, and government markets. It distributes third-party applications for its products through the App Store. The company also sells its products through its retail and online stores, and direct sales force; and third-party cellular network carriers, wholesalers, retailers, and resellers. Apple Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.