AMZN

$222.69

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 8.00% trendline growth.
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$435.02

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$348.02
56.28% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
6.35%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
77
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
56.3% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
11.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.7x)
35
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
20.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.
Narrative Score
78
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days-2 vs previous · +6 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (80th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 236 (News 200 · Analyst 36)
Drivers
24 regulatory scrutiny+5.5
7 earnings miss-3.1
150 news sentiment+2.6
7 upgrade headlines+1.9
2 downgrade headlines-1.0
8 layoffs-0.4
Other Metrics
P/E30.7
Profit Margin10.8%
Owner Earnings$255.77b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity1.02
Current Ratio1.03
PEG27.672
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$918$1,629$2,030$3,666$4,474$5,714$7,965$8,919$11,735$17,426$25,007$30,320$44,150$55,375$106,204$107,380$110,397$137,675$198,876$271,333
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Amazon.com, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Amazon.com, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). Its products offered through its stores include merchandise and content purchased for resale; and products offered by third-party sellers The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablets, Fire TVs, Rings, Blink, eero, and Echo; and develops and produces media content. In addition, it offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products in its stores; and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, the company provides compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as fulfillment, advertising, and digital content subscriptions. Additionally, it offers Amazon Prime, a membership program. The company serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, content creators, and advertisers. Amazon.com, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

Last updated: Feb 05, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.