Market Pulse44Neutral

Bank of America CorporationOpportunity Rank #194(BAC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$57.37

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$57.37
Price
$28.86
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 50%MOS: $23.09

Fundamental Score

46/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

76/100
Strong

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

73/100
Strong

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is estimated at $28.86 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $57.37, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -5.96% long-term growth rate and a 12.00% discount rate (calculated: 14.62%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is estimated at $28.86 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $57.37, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -5.96% long-term growth rate and a 12.00% discount rate (calculated: 14.62%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$28.86
-49.69% downside
20% margin of safety: $23.09
Years: 10Growth Rate: -5.96%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
6.45%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

46/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
49.7% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
13.9% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.6x)
29
Net Debt / FCF
2.4x net debt to FCF
19
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
8.3% 5Y FCF CAGR
66
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

76/100
Strong
-1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (26th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 93%Updated: 48m ago
Sources: 138 (126 News · 12 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
104 news sentiment+1.8
17 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
2 upgrade headlines+0.2
Downgrade headlines-0.0
2 legal risk+0.0
12 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

73/100
StrongAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High0.0%
Price vs 50 EMA+8.1%
Price vs 21 EMA+5.4%
Price vs 21 EMA79 · +5.4%
Price vs 50 EMA83 · +8.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA70 · +2.6%
3M RS vs SPY76 · +6.9%
6M RS vs SPY35 · -5.7%
Distance from 52W High100 · 0.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 57%
Thesis
Bank of America Corporation is currently overvalued with its price trading 44.3% above the estimated fair value, and its returns are trailing the estimated cost of capital despite a healthy free cash flow yield of 14.6%. The improving narrative score suggests some positive momentum, but fundamentals remain bearish with a negative ROIC versus WACC spread.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the company’s return on invested capital continues to underperform its weighted average cost of capital, undermining value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -5.96%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 813.93%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$56,567$12,613-$8,805$44,982-$6,327-$7,193$37,993$61,777$39,520$9,864$17,277$28,397$31,955$93,338-$16,056$65,797$83,581$131,971$6,132$13,179$15,257

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bank of America Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bank of America CorporationFinancial Services

Operating globally through its various subsidiaries, Bank of America Corporation offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial products and services. Its extensive clientele includes individual consumers, small and mid-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and government bodies worldwide. The Consumer Banking division provides diverse options such as traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts (IRAs), and both interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, in addition to investment products. This segment also issues credit and debit cards, originates residential mortgages and home equity loans, and offers direct and indirect financing for needs like automotive purchases, recreational vehicles, and personal loans. Within its Global Wealth & Investment Management segment, the company delivers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement solutions. It also crafts tailored wealth management strategies, including specialized asset management services. The Global Banking segment furnishes a broad spectrum of lending products, including commercial loans, leases, commitment facilities, trade finance, and both commercial real estate and asset-based lending. Furthermore, it provides treasury solutions such as cash management, foreign exchange, short-term investment options, and merchant services, alongside working capital management guidance. This segment also engages in debt and equity underwriting, distribution, and advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions. Through its Global Markets segment, Bank of America performs market-making activities, offers financing, and provides securities clearing, settlement, and custody services. It also devises risk management products employing interest rate, equity, credit, currency, and commodity derivatives, as well as foreign exchange, fixed-income, and mortgage-related instruments. As of December 31, 2021, the corporation served approximately 67 million consumer and small business clients. Its widespread infrastructure comprised around 4,200 retail financial centers and approximately 16,000 ATMs, supplemented by digital banking platforms utilized by roughly 41 million active users. Founded in 1784, Bank of America is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.