Market Pulse59Neutral

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.Opportunity Rank #276(BAM) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$49.76

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$49.76
Price
$8.53
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 83%MOS: $6.82

Fundamental Score

25/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

66/100
Improving

-2 vs previous

Trend Score

50/100
Neutral

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) is estimated at $8.53 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $49.76, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.92% long-term growth rate and a 9.78% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) is estimated at $8.53 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $49.76, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.92% long-term growth rate and a 9.78% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$8.53
-82.86% downside
20% margin of safety: $6.82
Years: 10Growth Rate: -1.92%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
4.58%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

25/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
82.9% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.6% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 4.6% vs WACC 8.0% (0.6x)
29
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-3.7% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

66/100
Improving
-2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:High (85th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 60 (55 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
44 news sentiment+1.1
9 regulatory scrutiny+0.4
Earnings beat+0.0
Macro headwinds+0.0
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

50/100
NeutralAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-16.7%
Price vs 21 EMA+4.5%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-6.5%
Price vs 21 EMA75 · +4.5%
Price vs 50 EMA73 · +5.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA54 · +0.5%
3M RS vs SPY25 · -6.5%
6M RS vs SPY14 · -16.7%
Distance from 52W High57 · -21.3%

Investment Coach

Updated 22h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 69.6% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and a negative spread between ROIC and WACC. The company exhibits a low free cash flow yield and declining cash flow growth, indicating limited upside potential.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the continued underperformance relative to the cost of capital, which could further depress valuation and returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -1.92%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -1.49%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$1,278$0$627$508-$361$1,478$1,806$0

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.Financial Services

Brookfield Asset Management is an alternative asset manager and REIT/Real Estate Investment Manager firm focuses on real estate, renewable power, infrastructure and venture capital and private equity assets. It manages a range of public and private investment products and services for institutional and retail clients. It typically makes investments in sizeable, premier assets across geographies and asset classes. It invests both its own capital as well as capital from other investors. Within private equity and venture capital, it focuses on acquisition, early ventures, control buyouts and financially distressed, buyouts and corporate carve-outs, recapitalizations, convertible, senior and mezzanine financings, operational and capital structure restructuring, strategic re-direction, turnaround, and under-performing midmarket companies. It invests in both public debt and equity markets. It invests in private equity sectors with focus on Business Services include infrastructure, healthcare, road fuel distribution and marketing, construction and real estate; Industrials include manufacturers of automotive batteries, graphite electrodes, returnable plastic packaging, and sanitation management and development; and Residential/ infrastructure services. It targets companies which likely possess underlying real assets, primarily in sectors such as industrial products, building materials, metals, mining, homebuilding, oil and gas, paper and packaging, manufacturing and forest product sectors. It invests globally with focus on North America including Brazil, the United States, Canada; Europe; and Australia; and Asia-Pacific. The firm considers equity investments in the range of $2 million to $500 million. It has a four-year investment period and a 10-year term with two one-year extensions. The firm prefers to take minority stake and majority stake. Brookfield Asset Management Inc. was founded in 1997 and based in Toronto, Canada with additional offices across Northern America; South America; Europe; Middle East and Asia.