Market Pulse44Neutral

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.Opportunity Rank #270(BAM) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$47.29

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$47.29
Price
$30.47
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 36%MOS: $24.38

Fundamental Score

35/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

65/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

39/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) is estimated at $30.47 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $47.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.57% long-term growth rate and a 9.32% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) is estimated at $30.47 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $47.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.57% long-term growth rate and a 9.32% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$30.47
-35.57% downside
20% margin of safety: $24.38
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.57%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.98%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

35/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
35.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.1% trailing FCF yield
27
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.0% vs WACC 8.0% (0.7x)
37
Net Debt / FCF
1.9x net debt to FCF
33
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
5.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
51
Strengths: Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

65/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (69th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 89%Updated: 24m ago
Sources: 55 (48 News · 7 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
41 news sentiment+1.3
6 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Earnings beat+0.0
7 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

39/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-19.4%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-4.5%
Price vs 50 EMA-0.5%
Price vs 21 EMA48 · -0.4%
Price vs 50 EMA47 · -0.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA49 · -0.1%
3M RS vs SPY32 · -4.5%
6M RS vs SPY10 · -19.4%
Distance from 52W High50 · -25.2%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 83%
Thesis
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. is currently overvalued with its price trading approximately 33% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and returns that lag the cost of capital. The company's narrative score is stable but broken, reflecting ongoing challenges in performance.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the continued underperformance relative to the cost of capital, which may further depress valuation and investor confidence.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 11.16%5 Year CAGR: 9.46%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$2,323$2,101$1,612$1,439-$361$1,478$1,806$830

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.Financial Services

Brookfield Asset Management operates as a prominent alternative asset manager and real estate investment trust (REIT), specializing in real estate, renewable energy, infrastructure, venture capital, and private equity assets. The firm provides a comprehensive range of public and private investment products and services to institutional and retail clients globally. Its strategy involves deploying capital into significant, premier assets across diverse geographies and asset classes, often co-investing its own capital alongside that of other investors. In its private equity and venture capital operations, the firm engages in a wide array of activities. These include early-stage ventures, outright acquisitions, control buyouts, corporate carve-outs, and the restructuring of financially distressed or underperforming mid-market companies. Its involvement further extends to recapitalizations, strategic redirections, and various forms of financing such as convertible, senior, and mezzanine debt, as well as operational and capital structure overhauls. Beyond private markets, Brookfield also actively participates in public debt and equity exchanges. Private equity investments are concentrated in specific sectors: Business Services (encompassing infrastructure, healthcare, road fuel distribution, construction, and real estate), Industrials (including manufacturers of automotive batteries, graphite electrodes, returnable plastic packaging, and sanitation management), and Residential/infrastructure services. The firm specifically targets companies underpinned by substantial real assets, primarily across industrial products, building materials, metals, mining, homebuilding, oil and gas, paper and packaging, general manufacturing, and forest product sectors. Geographically, Brookfield maintains a significant investment presence worldwide, concentrating on North America (including Canada, the United States, and Brazil), Europe, Australia, and the broader Asia-Pacific region. Equity investments typically range from $2 million to $500 million. The firm employs a four-year investment period, structured within a ten-year term that allows for two optional one-year extensions. Brookfield is flexible in its ownership approach, readily taking both minority and majority equity stakes. Established in 1997 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Brookfield Asset Management boasts a global network of additional offices across North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.