Market Pulse44Neutral

Bloom Energy CorporationOpportunity Rank #188(BE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$345.85

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$345.85
Price
$17.75
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 95%MOS: $14.20

Fundamental Score

34/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

99/100
Strong

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $17.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $345.85, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 11.88% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $17.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $345.85, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 11.88% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$17.75
▼ -94.87% downside
20% margin of safety: $14.20
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.17%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.49%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

34/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
94.9% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.4% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
7
Net Debt / FCF
0.5x net debt to FCF
91
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
236.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (69th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 0m ago
Sources: 192 (175 News · 17 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
153 news sentiment+2.6
17 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
3 upgrade headlines+0.1
2 earnings beat+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
16 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

99/100
StrongAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+115.6%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+338.5%
Distance from 52-Week High0.0%
Price vs 21 EMA99 · +22.2%
Price vs 50 EMA100 · +33.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA95 · +9.6%
3M RS vs SPY100 · +115.6%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +338.5%
Distance from 52W High100 · 0.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 81%
Thesis
Bloom Energy Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 92.7% above the estimated fair value of $18.95, supported by a bearish fundamental score of 33 and returns trailing its cost of capital. Despite a supportive narrative score of 72, the deteriorating trend and weak fundamentals suggest avoiding the stock at this time.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which undermines value creation and could lead to further price declines.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 143.48%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 228.42%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
$370$171$151-$289-$75-$11-$61$215-$43-$31-$274-$303-$267

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bloom Energy Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bloom Energy CorporationIndustrials

Bloom Energy Corporation engineers, produces, markets, and installs cutting-edge solid-oxide fuel cell systems designed for on-site electricity generation, serving clients both within the United States and internationally. Their core offering, the Bloom Energy Server, is an advanced power platform capable of converting various fuels, including natural gas, biogas, hydrogen, or a blend of these, directly into electricity using an electrochemical process that eliminates the need for combustion. The company provides its solutions to a wide array of critical infrastructure applications, such as data centers, hospitals, healthcare manufacturing and biotechnology facilities, grocery and hardware stores, banks, and telecommunication centers. Originally founded as Ion America Corp., the company adopted the name Bloom Energy Corporation in September 2006. Established in 2001, Bloom Energy Corporation's headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.