Market Pulse59Neutral

Bloom Energy CorporationOpportunity Rank #187(BE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$258.64

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$258.64
Price
$18.09
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 93%MOS: $14.47

Fundamental Score

33/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

95/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $18.09 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $258.64, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 11.73% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $18.09 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $258.64, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 11.73% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$18.09
▼ -93.01% downside
20% margin of safety: $14.47
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.17%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.25%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

33/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
93.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.6% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.3% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
6
Net Debt / FCF
0.5x net debt to FCF
91
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
236.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (67th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 174 (158 News · 16 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
132 news sentiment+4.5
22 regulatory scrutiny+0.6
2 earnings beat+0.4
2 upgrade headlines+0.3
Analyst upgrades+0.0
15 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

95/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+75.7%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+75.7%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+19.1%
Price vs 21 EMA87 · +8.1%
Price vs 50 EMA99 · +28.7%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA100 · +19.1%
3M RS vs SPY100 · +75.7%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +75.7%
Distance from 52W High77 · -11.6%

Investment Coach

Updated 22h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 81%
Thesis
Bloom Energy Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 92.6% above the estimated fair value of $19.1, supported by a bearish fundamental score of 33 despite an improving narrative score of 80. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating weak financial performance despite some positive narrative trends.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which could further deteriorate the company's financial health and valuation.
Signals To Watch
  • Watch for the stock price to move to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Track the ROIC versus WACC spread for signs of sustained improvement.
  • Follow the narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 143.48%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 228.42%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
$370$171$151-$289-$75-$11-$61$215-$43-$31-$274-$303-$267

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bloom Energy Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bloom Energy CorporationIndustrials

Bloom Energy Corporation designs, manufactures, sells, and installs solid-oxide fuel cell systems for on-site power generation in the United States and internationally. The company offers Bloom Energy Server, a power generation platform that converts fuel, such as natural gas, biogas, hydrogen, or a blend of these fuels, into electricity through an electrochemical process without combustion. It serves data centers, hospitals, healthcare manufacturing facilities, biotechnology facilities, grocery stores, hardware stores, banks, telecom facilities and other critical infrastructure applications. The company was formerly known as Ion America Corp. and changed its name to Bloom Energy Corporation in September 2006. Bloom Energy Corporation was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.