BLD

$493.91

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 12.00% trendline growth.
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$639.30

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$511.44
3.55% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
4.68%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
64
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
3.6% discount to price
56
FCF Yield
6.5% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 4.7% vs WACC 9.0% (0.5x)
26
Net Debt / FCF
2.0x net debt to FCF
30
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
23.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
55
Weak
Weighted across 4 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Above Avg (78th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 70%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 23 (News 20 · Analyst 3)
Drivers
12 news sentiment+0.4
7 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
Downgrade headlines-0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E24.4
Profit Margin10.8%
Owner Earnings$772.10m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity1.40
Current Ratio2.47
PEG-8.284
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
-$91$39$85$70$91$139$220$317$399$459$572$913$900
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates TopBuild Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

TopBuild Corp.Industrials

TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, afterpaint products, fireproofing products, garage doors, fireplaces, closet shelving, roofing materials, and other products; and insulation installation services. The company also offers various services and tools to assist builders in applying the principles of building science to new home construction, which include pre-construction plan reviews, diagnostic testing, and various inspection services; and home energy rating services. In addition, it distributes building and mechanical insulation, insulation accessories, and other building product materials for the residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. The company serves single-family homebuilders, single-family custom builders, multi-family builders, commercial general contractors, remodelers, and individual homeowners, as well as insulation contractors, gutter contractors, weatherization contractors, other contractors, dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home builders. It operates approximately 235 installation branches and 175 distribution centers in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as Masco SpinCo Corp. and changed its name to TopBuild Corp. in March 2015. TopBuild Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.