Market Pulse44Neutral

CACI International IncOpportunity Rank #315(CACI) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$449.72

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$449.72
Price
$260.05
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 42%MOS: $208.04

Fundamental Score

26/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

52/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

12/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of CACI International Inc (CACI) is estimated at $260.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $449.72, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.98% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.34%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of CACI International Inc (CACI) is estimated at $260.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $449.72, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.98% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.34%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$260.05
-42.18% downside
20% margin of safety: $208.04
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.98%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.4%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

26/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
42.2% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
7.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.3x)
13
Net Debt / FCF
7.1x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
3.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: FCF Yield. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

52/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (8th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 70%Updated: 49m ago
Sources: 23 (18 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
13 news sentiment+0.1
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

12/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-40.6%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-30.7%
Price vs 21 EMA-10.8%
Price vs 21 EMA5 · -10.8%
Price vs 50 EMA6 · -13.2%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA29 · -2.7%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -40.6%
6M RS vs SPY3 · -30.7%
Distance from 52W High36 · -32.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
CACI International Inc is currently overvalued with its price trading approximately 32% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and returns that lag the cost of capital. The company also faces elevated leverage, which raises concerns about financial stability.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the company's inability to improve its return on invested capital relative to its weighted average cost of capital, which could further depress valuation and financial performance.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.98%5 Year CAGR: 1.11%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$703$613$561$452$820$665$591$603$367$325$263$241$214$265$285$240$232$190$174$176$117

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates CACI International Inc's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

CACI International IncTechnology

CACI International Inc, alongside its subsidiaries, is a provider of specialized expertise and advanced technology. The company primarily serves enterprise and mission-critical customers by supporting vital national security objectives and facilitating government modernization and transformation efforts across the intelligence, defense, and federal civilian sectors. The company operates through two main divisions: Domestic Operations and International Operations. The Domestic Operations segment focuses on delivering information solutions and services to U.S. federal government agencies and commercial entities. This includes areas such as digital transformation, Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (C4ISR), cybersecurity and space technologies, engineering services, enterprise IT management, and mission support. Internationally, CACI offers a suite of IT services, proprietary data, and software products to both commercial and government clients throughout the United Kingdom, mainland Europe, and other global locations. CACI's capabilities extend to a broad range of technical services. It specializes in the design, deployment, security, and ongoing management of secure enterprise IT environments. The company also develops and implements sophisticated software-defined solutions for comprehensive cyber operations, electronic warfare (EW), and counter-unmanned aircraft systems (C-UAS). Furthermore, CACI provides services for platform integration, modernization, and sustainment, alongside expertise in system engineering, naval architecture, training and simulation programs, and logistics engineering. Additionally, CACI offers enterprise cloud solutions for both classified and unclassified networks. It also provides critical intelligence support, continuously advancing methods for data collection, analysis, and dissemination to enhance decision-making processes. CACI International Inc was established in 1962 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.