Carrier Global CorporationOpportunity Rank #289(CARR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$69.15
Last updated: Jul 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
-6 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-24
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The intrinsic value of Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is estimated at $25.45 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $69.15, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.36% long-term growth rate and an 8.73% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is estimated at $25.45 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $69.15, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.36% long-term growth rate and an 8.73% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Carrier Global Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Carrier Global CorporationIndustrials
Carrier Global Corporation is a worldwide provider of advanced technological solutions covering heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire safety, security, and intelligent building automation. Its operations are structured across three primary business segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment is dedicated to supplying products, controls, services, and complete solutions tailored to the heating, cooling, and ventilation requirements of both residential and commercial clients. Offerings in this area include air conditioning units, heating systems, various control mechanisms, aftermarket components, as well as post-installation repair, maintenance services, and building automation capabilities. The Refrigeration segment focuses on providing transport refrigeration and monitoring products and services. This includes digital solutions for diverse applications such as trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal transport, food retail, and warehouse cooling. Additionally, it offers commercial refrigeration solutions like display cabinets, freezers, integrated systems, and their corresponding controls. The Fire & Security segment delivers a comprehensive suite of technologies for residential, commercial, and industrial environments. This encompasses detection systems for fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide; portable fire extinguishers; advanced fire suppression systems; intruder alarms; access control systems; video management systems; and electronic controls. Its service portfolio further extends to auditing, design, installation, system integration, ongoing maintenance, repair, and monitoring services. The company markets its extensive product range under numerous brands, including Autronica, Det-Tronics, Edwards, Fireye, GST, Kidde, LenelS2, Marioff, Onity, Supra, Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, Day & Night, Heil, NORESCO, Riello, Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Carrier Transicold, and Sensitech. Established in 2019, Carrier Global Corporation maintains its corporate headquarters in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.