CARR

$63.10

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -0.26% trendline growth.
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$28.87

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$23.10
-63.40% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
0.97%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
35
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
63.4% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
5.4% trailing FCF yield
85
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.0% vs WACC 10.0% (0.1x)
5
Net Debt / FCF
3.7x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
63
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
38
Broken
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Low (2th pct)
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 41 (News 31 · Analyst 10)
Drivers
Margin pressure-0.6
20 news sentiment-0.5
Earnings beat-0.1
9 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
10 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E35.5
Profit Margin6.9%
Owner Earnings$2.83b
One Dollar Premise52.00%
Debt/Equity1.62
Current Ratio1.18
PEG-0.569
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
201720182019202020212022202320242025
$2,424$2,318$2,306$2,004$2,581$2,060$3,046$1,082$2,878
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Carrier Global Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Carrier Global CorporationIndustrials

Carrier Global Corporation provides heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies worldwide. It operates through three segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment provides products, controls, services, and solutions to meet the heating, cooling, and ventilation needs of residential and commercial customers. Its products include air conditioners, heating systems, controls, and aftermarket components, as well as aftermarket repair and maintenance services and building automation solutions. The Refrigeration segment offers transport refrigeration and monitoring products and services, as well as digital solutions for trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal applications, food retail, and warehouse cooling; and commercial refrigeration solutions, such as refrigerated cabinets, freezers, systems, and controls. The Fire & Security segment provides various residential, commercial, and industrial technologies, including fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide detection; portable fire extinguishers; fire suppression systems; intruder alarms; access control systems; video management systems; and electronic controls. Its other fire and security service offerings comprise audit, design, installation, and system integration, as well as aftermarket maintenance and repair and monitoring services. The company offers its products under the Autronica, Det-Tronics, Edwards, Fireye, GST, Kidde, LenelS2, Marioff, Onity, and Supra; Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, Day & Night, Heil, NORESCO, and Riello; and Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Carrier Transicold, and Sensitech brands. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.