Market Pulse53Neutral

Charter Communications, Inc.Opportunity Rank #177(CHTR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$123.31

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$123.31
Price
$3,790.47
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 2974%MOS: $3,032.38

Fundamental Score

50/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

38/100
Broken

-5 vs previous

Trend Score

10/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-24

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The intrinsic value of Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) is estimated at $3,790.47 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $123.31, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.23% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 5.73%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) is estimated at $3,790.47 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $123.31, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.23% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 5.73%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$3,790.47
2973.94% upside
20% margin of safety: $3,032.38
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.23%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.11%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

50/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
2973.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
164.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.1% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
10
Net Debt / FCF
3.3x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
4.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

38/100
Broken
-5 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Low (4th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 49 (39 News · 10 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
28 news sentiment-1.2
6 regulatory scrutiny-0.5
Earnings beat+0.3
3 upgrade headlines+0.2
Legal risk-0.1
10 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

10/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-24310 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-67.5%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-53.3%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-43.2%
Price vs 21 EMA16 · -6.4%
Price vs 50 EMA5 · -13.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA7 · -7.7%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -53.3%
6M RS vs SPY1 · -43.2%
Distance from 52W High0 · -67.5%

Investment Coach

Updating... 44d ago
WATCHConfidence: 48%
Thesis
Charter Communications, Inc. is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate over 2600% above its current price, supported by a strong free cash flow yield of 145.3%. However, its returns are currently trailing its cost of capital, indicating operational challenges despite healthy cash flow metrics.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains substantially below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to sustained value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.23%5 Year CAGR: 3.73%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$28,582$27,736$25,699$25,376$23,748$23,794$22,518$18,888$21,362$19,824$41,573$4,171$4,547$4,583$3,589$3,080$3,112$702$1,601$1,571$1,468

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Charter Communications, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Charter Communications, Inc.Communication Services

Charter Communications, Inc. is a prominent U.S. broadband and cable operator, delivering services to residential and commercial customers nationwide. Its offerings encompass a wide array of subscription video services, including on-demand content, high-definition channels, digital video recording (DVR), and pay-per-view options. Internet services form a crucial part of its portfolio, featuring robust security measures against cyber threats, high-performance in-home WiFi with provided routers, and extensive out-of-home and Spectrum WiFi access. The company also provides voice communication services utilizing Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) technology. For its business and carrier clientele, Charter offers comprehensive broadband communication solutions. These include internet access, data networking, fiber optic connectivity, video entertainment, and business telephone services, catering to a diverse range of needs from office buildings to cellular towers. Further diversifying its operations, Charter provides mobile services, alongside specialized business solutions such as static IP addresses, dedicated business WiFi, email and security services, multi-line telephone systems, and web-based service management. It also offers a suite of communication products and managed service solutions. In the media sector, the company sells local advertising across various platforms, including major networks like TBS, CNN, and ESPN, as well as local sports and news channels, and utilizes its "Audience App" for linear inventory optimization. Additionally, Charter owns and operates regional sports and news networks and supplies wholesale data connectivity services to mobile and wireline carriers. Serving approximately 32 million customers across 41 states, Charter Communications was founded in 1993 and maintains its headquarters in Stamford, Connecticut.