Market Pulse44Neutral

Celestica Inc.Opportunity Rank #203(CLS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$376.84

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$376.84
Price
$155.50
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 59%MOS: $124.40

Fundamental Score

55/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

65/100
Improving

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

70/100
Strong

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Celestica Inc. (CLS) is estimated at $155.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $376.84, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.52% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Celestica Inc. (CLS) is estimated at $155.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $376.84, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.52% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$155.50
-58.74% downside
20% margin of safety: $124.40
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.35%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
11.52%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

55/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
58.7% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.0% trailing FCF yield
24
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 11.5% vs WACC 11.0% (1.0x)
52
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
34.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

65/100
Improving
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (21st pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 89%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 98 (87 News · 11 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
71 news sentiment+1.3
5 upgrade headlines+0.1
2 margin pressure+0.1
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Downgrade headlines-0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0

Trend Details

70/100
StrongAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+25.3%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+25.7%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+3.2%
Price vs 21 EMA37 · -2.1%
Price vs 50 EMA55 · +1.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA74 · +3.2%
3M RS vs SPY99 · +25.3%
6M RS vs SPY95 · +25.7%
Distance from 52W High60 · -20.2%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
WATCHConfidence: 45%
Thesis
Celestica Inc. shows constructive fundamentals with a positive ROIC versus WACC spread and a strong free cash flow CAGR, supported by a stable narrative score. However, its current price is significantly above the estimated fair value, indicating potential overvaluation.
Key Risk
The key risk is the substantial overvaluation, with the current price trading 58% above the estimated fair value, which could lead to downside pressure.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC vs WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.35%5 Year CAGR: 35.69%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$1,283$876$645$451$320$279$292$426$115$230$237$259$303$202$418$259$212$371$297$415$228

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Celestica Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Celestica Inc.Technology

Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, and established in 1994, Celestica Inc. delivers comprehensive hardware platform and supply chain solutions to clients across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company operates through two key segments: Advanced Technology Solutions and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions. Celestica's extensive service portfolio encompasses the entire product lifecycle, from initial design and development, engineering, and supply chain management to new product introduction, component sourcing, electronic manufacturing and assembly, rigorous testing, complex mechanical integration, and systems integration. Further offerings include precision machining, order fulfillment, logistics, asset management, product licensing, and post-market repair and return services. Additionally, Celestica provides a wide array of products, including enterprise-grade data communication and information processing infrastructure such as routers, switches, data center interconnects, edge solutions, servers, and storage products. They also supply individual electronic components like capacitors, microprocessors, resistors, and memory modules, alongside power inverters, energy storage products, and smart meters. The company serves a diverse global clientele, spanning industries such as aerospace and defense, industrial, energy, healthtech, capital equipment, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and cloud service providers, including leading hyperscalers.

Celestica Inc. (CLS) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq