CME

$297.38

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.36% trendline growth.
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$476.26

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$381.01
28.12% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
3.62%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
62
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
28.1% discount to price
97
FCF Yield
4.0% trailing FCF yield
49
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.6% vs WACC 11.0% (0.3x)
16
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.7% 5Y FCF CAGR
64
Strengths: DCF Discount, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (98th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 95 (News 85 · Analyst 10)
Drivers
47 news sentiment+1.7
35 regulatory scrutiny+1.7
3 earnings beat+0.6
Analyst upgrades+0.0
9 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E26.2
Profit Margin62.0%
Owner Earnings$4.40b
One Dollar Premise44.00%
Debt/Equity5.05
Current Ratio1.02
PEG3.184
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$477$560$978$1,397$1,241$1,516$1,519$1,359$1,406$1,432$1,630$1,808$1,922$2,558$2,918$2,913$2,530$3,146$3,530$4,238
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates CME Group Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

CME Group Inc.Financial Services

CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income products. The company also provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. CME Group Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.