Market Pulse59Neutral

Coupang, Inc.Opportunity Rank #150(CPNG) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$17.22

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$17.22
Price
$43.51
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 153%MOS: $34.81

Fundamental Score

73/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

49/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

12/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) is estimated at $43.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $17.22, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.35% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.45%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) is estimated at $43.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $17.22, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.35% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.45%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$43.51
▲ 152.67% upside
20% margin of safety: $34.81
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.35%
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Fundamental Details

73/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
152.7% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
9.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 0.0% vs WACC 11.0% (0.0x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
29.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

49/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (38th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 97%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 53 (47 News · 6 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
37 news sentiment+0.3
Analyst downgrades-0.3
Margin pressure-0.3
Earnings beat+0.1
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

12/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-52.7%
Distance from 52-Week High-49.4%
Price vs 21 EMA-13.2%
Price vs 21 EMA3 · -13.2%
Price vs 50 EMA4 · -14.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA39 · -1.3%
3M RS vs SPY14 · -11.0%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -52.7%
Distance from 52W High1 · -49.4%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Coupang, Inc. is attractively valued with an estimated fair value 163.9% above its current price, supported by a strong fundamental score of 73 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 9.1%. Despite trailing its estimated cost of capital, the company shows robust free cash flow growth and effective buybacks, indicating potential for long-term value creation.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may limit sustainable profitability and value generation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 25.95%5 Year CAGR: 60.81%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018
$2,828$3,024$2,765$3,548$1,389$263$786-$94-$601

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Coupang, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Coupang, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Coupang, Inc. owns and operates in e-commerce business through its mobile applications and Internet websites primarily in South Korea. It operates through two segments, Product Commerce and Growth Initiatives. The company sells various products and services in the categories of home goods and décor products, apparel, beauty products, fresh food and groceries, sporting goods, electronics, and everyday consumables, as well as travel, and restaurant order and delivery services. It also performs operations and support services in China, Singapore, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States. Coupang, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.