CSX CorporationOpportunity Rank #242(CSX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$46.20
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of CSX Corporation (CSX) is estimated at $33.02 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $46.20, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 2.36% long-term growth rate and an 8.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of CSX Corporation (CSX) is estimated at $33.02 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $46.20, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 2.36% long-term growth rate and an 8.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates CSX Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
CSX CorporationIndustrials
CSX Corporation, operating through its subsidiaries, stands as a leading provider of rail-based cargo transportation services. The company offers a wide range of services, including general rail freight, the movement of intermodal containers and trailers, and specialized transport solutions such as efficient rail-to-truck transfers and the handling of bulk commodities. CSX facilitates the shipment of a diverse array of goods, encompassing industrial chemicals, agricultural and food products, automotive components and finished vehicles, minerals, timber products, fertilizers, and various metals and heavy equipment. Additionally, it plays a crucial role in energy supply chains, transporting coal, coke, and iron ore to power generation facilities, steel manufacturers, and industrial plants, and also manages the export of coal via deep-water port access. The company's intermodal operations leverage a robust network of approximately 30 terminals to transport manufactured consumer goods in containers. This also includes drayage services, managing the initial pickup and final delivery of intermodal freight. For the automotive industry, CSX provides dedicated distribution centers and storage locations, and extends its reach to clients without direct rail access by orchestrating transfers of products like plastics and ethanol from rail to road. CSX's substantial infrastructure features an extensive rail network spanning approximately 19,500 route miles. This network strategically connects numerous population centers across 23 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and extends into the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec. Powering these operations, CSX owns and leases around 3,500 locomotives. Its rail lines also provide direct connections to various production and distribution facilities, enhancing supply chain efficiency. Established in 1978, CSX Corporation has its headquarters located in Jacksonville, Florida.