CVNA

$383.69

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 10.00% trendline growth.
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$25.59

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$20.47
▼ -94.66% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
8.54%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
33
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
94.7% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.9% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 8.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.8x)
39
Net Debt / FCF
3.2x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
320.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
42
Weak
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: Below Avg (22th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 95%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 132 (News 116 · Analyst 16)
Drivers
79 news sentiment-0.6
16 legal risk-0.3
18 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Restructuring-0.1
2 upgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E84.9
Profit Margin3.4%
Owner Earnings$1.03b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity4.19
Current Ratio3.88
PEG9.276
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
-$26-$40-$201-$121-$271-$527-$248-$2,037-$812$890$786
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Carvana Co.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Carvana Co.Consumer Cyclical

Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company offers vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. It also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.