CVX

$179.21

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -0.59% trendline growth.
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$445.25

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$356.20
98.77% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
1.76%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
71
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
98.8% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
14.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.8% vs WACC 8.0% (0.2x)
11
Net Debt / FCF
0.0x net debt to FCF
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
21.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 216 (News 200 · Analyst 16)
Drivers
51 regulatory scrutiny+7.5
144 news sentiment+4.9
Earnings miss-0.3
2 earnings beat+0.1
Legal risk-0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E29.0
Profit Margin6.6%
Owner Earnings$50.01b
One Dollar Premise111.00%
Debt/Equity0.71
Current Ratio1.06
PEG-4.689
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$38,136$41,655$49,298$39,216$50,971$67,598$69,750$72,987$66,882$48,960$30,955$33,919$44,400$41,400$19,477$37,287$61,576$51,438$47,940$51,318
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Chevron Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Chevron CorporationEnergy

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in integrated energy and chemicals operations worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment is involved in the exploration, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; and transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas, as well as operates a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment engages in refining crude oil into petroleum products; marketing crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufacturing and marketing of renewable fuels; transporting crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. It is also involved in the cash management and debt financing activities; insurance operations; real estate activities; and technology businesses. The company was formerly known as ChevronTexaco Corporation and changed its name to Chevron Corporation in 2005. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is based in San Ramon, California.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Chevron Corporation (CVX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation | Intrinziq