Market Pulse44Neutral

Dominion Energy, Inc.Opportunity Rank #61(D) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Utilities

Current Price

$68.05

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$68.05
Price
$303.20
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 346%MOS: $242.56

Fundamental Score

54/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

53/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

64/100
Constructive

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is estimated at $303.20 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $68.05, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.05% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 6.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is estimated at $303.20 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $68.05, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.05% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 6.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$303.20
345.55% upside
20% margin of safety: $242.56
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.05%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.56%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

54/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
345.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
29.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.6% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
7
Net Debt / FCF
2.9x net debt to FCF
3
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
8.7% 5Y FCF CAGR
68
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

53/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (2nd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 85%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 96 (85 News · 11 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
68 news sentiment+0.2
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
5 legal risk+0.0

Trend Details

64/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-0.7%
Price vs 50 EMA+4.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+2.3%
Price vs 21 EMA61 · +1.7%
Price vs 50 EMA69 · +4.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA68 · +2.3%
3M RS vs SPY49 · -0.2%
6M RS vs SPY56 · +2.3%
Distance from 52W High99 · -0.7%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
WATCHConfidence: 48%
Thesis
Dominion Energy, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 358% above its current price and a strong free cash flow yield of 29.8%. However, returns are currently trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating potential operational challenges.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital is substantially below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to sustained value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.05%5 Year CAGR: 11.64%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$17,510$18,002$17,445$16,807$11,458$10,098$11,558$10,525$9,178$10,411$10,252$10,468$8,990$7,537$8,282$6,635$5,247$7,623$6,213$3,726$8,057

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Dominion Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Dominion Energy, Inc.Utilities

Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Dominion Energy, Inc., founded in 1983 (and formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc.), is a prominent American energy firm primarily engaged in the generation and supply of power across the United States. The company's operations are divided into four primary divisions. The Dominion Energy Virginia division is responsible for the regulated production, transmission, and local delivery of electricity, serving an estimated 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental clients throughout Virginia and North Carolina. Its Gas Distribution segment oversees the regulated sale, transport, collection, storage, and local delivery of natural gas. This segment caters to approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers spread across Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho. Furthermore, it operates several unregulated facilities dedicated to renewable natural gas production. Within the Dominion Energy South Carolina division, the company provides electricity generation, transmission, and distribution services to roughly 772,000 customers residing in the central, southern, and southwestern regions of South Carolina. Concurrently, it manages natural gas distribution for an additional 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial consumers within the state. The Contracted Assets segment comprises non-regulated ventures, specifically focusing on the development and operation of long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar facilities. This segment also includes gas transportation, liquefied natural gas (LNG) import and storage operations, as well as a dedicated liquefaction plant. As of December 31, 2021, Dominion Energy commanded an extensive asset portfolio, featuring approximately 30.2 gigawatts of electricity generating capacity, complemented by 10,700 miles of electric transmission infrastructure, 78,000 miles of electric distribution networks, and 95,700 miles of natural gas distribution mains and associated service lines.