DIS

$104.98

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 3.47% trendline growth.
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$177.06

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$141.65
34.93% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.62%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
71
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
34.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
13.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.6% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
16
Net Debt / FCF
1.7x net debt to FCF
39
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
15.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (89th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 211 (News 200 · Analyst 11)
Drivers
171 news sentiment+4.4
22 regulatory scrutiny+1.6
6 earnings beat-1.1
Margin pressure+0.1
11 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E15.3
Profit Margin12.8%
Owner Earnings$26.19b
One Dollar Premise18.00%
Debt/Equity0.79
Current Ratio0.69
PEG-15.019
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$7,357$6,987$7,032$7,072$8,688$10,553$11,750$12,248$13,091$15,174$17,986$15,966$18,760$11,482$11,640$9,145$10,953$14,835$19,383$24,202
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates The Walt Disney Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

The Walt Disney CompanyCommunication Services

The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation | Intrinziq