Market Pulse59Neutral

Domino's Pizza, Inc.Opportunity Rank #224(DPZ) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$332.53

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$332.53
Price
$354.11
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 6%MOS: $283.29

Fundamental Score

71/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

28/100
Broken

No change vs previous

Trend Score

12/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is estimated at $354.11 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $332.53, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.58% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.52%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is estimated at $354.11 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $332.53, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.58% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.52%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$354.11
▲ 6.49% upside
20% margin of safety: $283.29
Years: 10Growth Rate: 5.58%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
26.95%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

71/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
6.5% discount to price
61
FCF Yield
8.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 27.0% vs WACC 7.0% (3.9x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
5.2x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
5.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
53
Strengths: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC. Concerns: Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

28/100
Broken
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (7th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 91%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 108 (77 News · 31 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
61 news sentiment-1.1
9 regulatory scrutiny-0.6
2 downgrade headlines-0.6
Earnings miss-0.1
Macro headwinds+0.1
2 earnings beat+0.1

Trend Details

12/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-24.9%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-28.1%
Price vs 50 EMA-11.1%
Price vs 21 EMA15 · -6.7%
Price vs 50 EMA9 · -11.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA17 · -4.7%
3M RS vs SPY2 · -24.9%
6M RS vs SPY4 · -28.1%
Distance from 52W High30 · -35.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 58%
Thesis
Domino's Pizza, Inc. presents a compelling buy opportunity with a strong fundamental score of 72 and a valuation implying a 10.3% upside. The company's ROIC significantly exceeds its cost of capital by nearly 20 percentage points, indicating efficient capital use and growth potential.
Key Risk
The deteriorating narrative score of 26 signals potential underlying issues that could impact investor sentiment and stock performance.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Confirm ROIC stays above cost of capital over coming quarters.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 5.58%5 Year CAGR: 3.66%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320232022202120192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$896$913$738$563$696$748$682$583$514$429$346$355$262$234$206$177$154$124$95$127$153

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Domino's Pizza, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Domino's Pizza, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. It also provides oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, boneless chicken and chicken wings, bread and dips side items, desserts, and soft drink products. As of January 2, 2022, the company operated approximately 18,800 stores in 90 markets. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq