DUK

$123.41

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 4.41% trendline growth.
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$651.56

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$521.25
322.37% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
1.51%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
40
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
322.4% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
15.8% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
7
Net Debt / FCF
5.8x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-2.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
61
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (88th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 99%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 91 (News 87 · Analyst 4)
Drivers
22 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
60 news sentiment+0.6
Earnings beat-0.2
3 upgrade headlines+0.0
Downgrade headlines-0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E19.2
Profit Margin15.7%
Owner Earnings$14.61b
One Dollar Premise66.00%
Debt/Equity2.70
Current Ratio0.68
PEG4.904
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$5,110$7,129$6,333$7,714$7,852$9,314$8,035$10,745$11,908$11,970$13,442$14,699$14,676$16,575$19,331$18,763$18,005$17,294$22,482$15,138
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Duke Energy Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Duke Energy CorporationUtilities

Duke Energy Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity in the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwest; and uses coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewable generation, and nuclear fuel to generate electricity. It also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and load-serving entities. This segment serves approximately 8.2 million customers in 6 states in the Southeast and Midwest regions of the United States covering a service territory of approximately 91,000 square miles; and owns approximately 50,259 megawatts (MW) of generation capacity. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas customers; and owns, operates, and invests in pipeline transmission and natural gas storage facilities. It has approximately 1.6 million customers, including 1.1 million customers in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee, as well as 550,000 customers in southwestern Ohio and northern Kentucky. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, owns, develops, builds, and operates wind and solar renewable generation projects, including nonregulated renewable energy and energy storage services to utilities, electric cooperatives, municipalities, and corporate customers. It has 23 wind, 178 solar, and 2 battery storage facilities, as well as 71 fuel cell locations with a capacity of 3,554 MW across 22 states. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2005. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.