EXPE

$231.30

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.55% trendline growth.
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$528.80

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$423.04
82.90% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
32.23%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
83
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
82.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
14.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 32.2% vs WACC 11.0% (2.9x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
0.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: FCF CAGR (5Y).
Narrative Score
73
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days+2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (100th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 93%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 78 (News 61 · Analyst 17)
Drivers
22 regulatory scrutiny+1.1
33 news sentiment+1.0
2 earnings beat+0.2
2 layoffs-0.2
2 upgrade headlines+0.1
17 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E20.6
Profit Margin9.7%
Owner Earnings$2.46b
One Dollar Premise13.00%
Debt/Equity18.91
Current Ratio0.74
PEG0.716
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$902$710$799$681$768$933$1,110$1,473$1,072$1,695$2,155$2,314$2,509$2,853$3,927-$3,037$4,421$4,102$3,536$3,965
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Expedia Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Expedia Group, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets travel websites; ebookers, an online EMEA travel agent for travelers an array of travel options; Hotwire, which offers travel booking services; CarRentals.com, an online car rental booking service; Classic Vacations, a luxury travel specialist; and Expedia Cruise, a provider of advice for travelers booking cruises. The company's brand portfolio also comprise Expedia Partner Solutions, a business-to-business brand that provides travel and non-travel vertical, which includes corporate travel management, airlines, travel agents, online retailers and financial institutions; and Egencia that provides corporate travel management services. In addition, its brand portfolio consists of Trivago, a hotel metasearch website, which send referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites; and Expedia Group Media solutions. Further, the company provides online travel services through its Wotif.com, lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Wotif.co.nz, and lastminute.co.nz brands; loyalty programs; hotel accommodations and alternative accommodations; and advertising and media services. It serves leisure and corporate travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.