Market Pulse44Neutral

Gambling.com Group Limited(GAMB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$2.26

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$2.26
Price
$0.01
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 100%MOS: $0.01

Fundamental Score

18/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

50/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

The intrinsic value of Gambling.com Group Limited (GAMB) is estimated at $0.01 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $2.26, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 5.78%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Gambling.com Group Limited (GAMB) is estimated at $0.01 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $2.26, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 5.78%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.01
▼ -99.56% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.01
Years: 10Growth Rate: 8.00%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-11.14%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

18/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
99.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
7.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -11.1% vs WACC 9.0% (-1.2x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
18.7x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-6.7% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: FCF Yield. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

50/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (39th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 56%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 9 (6 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
4 news sentiment+0.1
Regulatory scrutiny-0.0
Restructuring+0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
Gambling.com Group Limited is currently overvalued by approximately 27% with weak fundamentals and negative returns relative to its cost of capital. The company exhibits elevated leverage and declining free cash flow growth, indicating financial stress and poor operational performance.
Key Risk
Continued negative spread between ROIC and WACC combined with high leverage could exacerbate financial instability and depress valuation further.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 8.02%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -13.78%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
$6$13$71$27$28$20$11$6$15$9

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Gambling.com Group Limited's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Gambling.com Group LimitedConsumer Cyclical

Gambling.com Group Limited, known by its symbol GAMB, is a company focused on performance marketing within the worldwide online gambling sector. The group delivers digital marketing solutions tailored for both iGaming and sports betting. To achieve this, it curates and manages a collection of prominent branded websites, including its flagship Gambling.com and Bookies.com. Founded in 2006, Gambling.com Group Limited is headquartered in St. Helier, Jersey.