Market Pulse59Neutral

GameStop Corp.Opportunity Rank #217(GME) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$23.97

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$23.97
Price
$11.12
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 54%MOS: $8.90

Fundamental Score

75/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

71/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

45/100
Neutral

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. (GME) is estimated at $11.12 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $23.97, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -29.05% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.33%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. (GME) is estimated at $11.12 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $23.97, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -29.05% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.33%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$11.12
▼ -53.61% downside
20% margin of safety: $8.90
Years: 10Growth Rate: -29.05%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
16.03%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

75/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
53.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
5.9% trailing FCF yield
97
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 16.0% vs WACC 9.0% (1.8x)
89
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
28.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC. Concerns: DCF Discount.

Narrative Details

71/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (94th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 90%Updated: 18h ago
Sources: 128 (128 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
121 news sentiment+2.0
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
2 earnings beat+0.0

Trend Details

45/100
NeutralAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-9.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+1.8%
Distance from 52-Week High-30.6%
Price vs 21 EMA45 · -0.9%
Price vs 50 EMA54 · +0.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA64 · +1.8%
3M RS vs SPY17 · -9.6%
6M RS vs SPY54 · +1.5%
Distance from 52W High39 · -30.6%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 58%
Thesis
GameStop Corp. is fundamentally strong with a high ROIC exceeding its cost of capital by 7.0 points and a supportive narrative score of 72, indicating improving business momentum. Despite the current price being significantly above the estimated fair value, the company's robust fundamentals and buyback activity suggest potential for long-term value realization.
Key Risk
The key risk is the significant overvaluation relative to the estimated fair value, which may pressure the stock price downward.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • ROIC remaining above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -29.05%5 Year CAGR: 28.05%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
$632$162-$169$164-$372$184-$336$419$548$680$830$640$888$750$807$789$808$732$678$557

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates GameStop Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

GameStop Corp.Consumer Cyclical

GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games and entertainment products through its e-commerce properties and various stores in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, virtual reality products, and memory cards; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. It also sells collectibles comprising licensed merchandise primarily related to the gaming, television, and movie industries, as well as pop culture themes. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 4,573 stores and ecommerce sites under the GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania brands; and 50 pop culture themed stores that sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products under the Zing Pop Culture brand, as well as offers Game Informer, a print and digital video game publication featuring reviews of new releases, previews of the big titles on the horizon, and coverage of the latest developments in the gaming industry. The company was formerly known as GSC Holdings Corp. GameStop Corp. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, Texas.