Market Pulse44Neutral

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.(HAIN) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$0.61

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$0.61
Price
$3.36
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 452%MOS: $2.69

Fundamental Score

38/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

49/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

The intrinsic value of The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) is estimated at $3.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.61, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.45% long-term growth rate and an 11.12% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) is estimated at $3.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.61, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.45% long-term growth rate and an 11.12% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$3.36
451.91% upside
20% margin of safety: $2.69
Years: 10Growth Rate: -0.45%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-8.92%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

38/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
451.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
157.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -8.9% vs WACC 11.0% (-0.8x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
5.8x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-10.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

49/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (30th pct)Weighted across 1 driver
Trend: StableConfidence: 44%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 9 (9 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
9 news sentiment-0.1

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 53%
Thesis
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. is currently trading at a significant discount with an estimated fair value over 500% above its current price, but its fundamentals are weak and returns are below the cost of capital. Elevated leverage and negative free cash flow growth further undermine its investment appeal.
Key Risk
The company's elevated net debt to free cash flow ratio and negative ROIC spread versus WACC pose significant financial risks that could impair recovery and value realization.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -0.45%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -13.34%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$86$47$150$95$120$268$212$118$178$280$284$237$226$194$142$70$82$35$147$216$152

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.Consumer Defensive

Hain Celestial Group, Inc. is a global enterprise dedicated to the production, marketing, and distribution of organic and natural consumer goods. Its operations are organized into two primary geographical segments: North America and International. The company's extensive product portfolio encompasses nourishing options for infants, toddlers, and children, along with a wide array of plant-based foods and beverages, including soy, rice, oat, almond, and coconut-based drinks and frozen desserts. Consumers can also find various condiments, cooking oils, cereal bars, and a diverse range of soups (canned, fresh, aseptic, and instant). Further offerings span yogurts, chilis, chocolates, nut butters, and fruit juices. Beyond these, Hain Celestial supplies warm desserts, cookies, and both refrigerated and frozen plant-based meat alternatives. Its pantry staples include jams, fruit spreads, jellies, honey, natural sweeteners, and marmalades. For snack enthusiasts, the firm offers an assortment of chips made from potatoes, root vegetables, and other exotic vegetables, alongside straws, tortilla chips, whole grain chips, pita chips, and puffed snacks. A significant portion of its business also involves personal care items such as hand, skin, hair, and oral hygiene products, deodorants, body washes, sunscreens, and lotions, marketed under popular labels like Alba Botanica, Avalon Organics, Earth's Best, JASON, Live Clean, and Queen Helene. The iconic Celestial Seasonings brand represents a wide selection of teas, including herbal, green, black, wellness, rooibos, and chai varieties. Additional pantry products are distributed under the Spectrum, Spectrum Essentials, MaraNatha, Imagine broths, Hain Pure Foods, Health Valley, and Hollywood labels. The company effectively reaches consumers across approximately 80 countries globally, utilizing a broad distribution network. This network includes specialty and natural food wholesalers, major supermarkets, dedicated natural food outlets, mass-market and online retailers, foodservice providers, club stores, and drug and convenience stores. Established in 1993, Hain Celestial Group maintains its corporate headquarters in Lake Success, New York.