HCA

$513.76

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.48% trendline growth.
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$1,211.56

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$969.25
88.66% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
6.03%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
68
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
88.7% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
15.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.0% vs WACC 7.0% (0.9x)
43
Net Debt / FCF
2.7x net debt to FCF
9
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
64
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
65
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Below Avg (29th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 85%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 65 (News 51 · Analyst 14)
Drivers
34 news sentiment+1.6
14 regulatory scrutiny-0.6
2 earnings beat+0.3
Downgrade headlines+0.2
Analyst downgrades-0.0
13 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E17.5
Profit Margin9.0%
Owner Earnings$15.25b
One Dollar Premise10.00%
Debt/Equity-12.78
Current Ratio0.95
PEG1.875
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$3,710$2,840$3,397$4,064$4,410$5,612$6,037$5,623$6,624$7,109$8,413$8,441$10,334$11,760$12,067$12,536$12,917$14,175$15,389$17,580
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

HCA Healthcare, Inc.Healthcare

HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services company in the United States. The company operates general and acute care hospitals that offers medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy. It also operates outpatient health care facilities consisting of freestanding ambulatory surgery centers, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, physician practices, and various other facilities. In addition, the company operates psychiatric hospitals, which provide therapeutic programs comprising child, adolescent and adult psychiatric care, adolescent and adult alcohol, drug abuse treatment, and counseling services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 182 hospitals, including 175 general and acute care hospitals, five psychiatric hospitals, and two rehabilitation hospitals; 125 freestanding surgery centers; and 21 freestanding endoscopy centers in 20 states and England. The company was formerly known as HCA Holdings, Inc. HCA Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.