Market Pulse44Neutral

Liberty Energy Inc.Opportunity Rank #96(LBRT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$27.85

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$27.85
Price
$148.62
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 434%MOS: $118.90

Fundamental Score

70/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

51/100
Weak

+1 vs previous

Trend Score

37/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) is estimated at $148.62 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.85, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.84% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.70%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) is estimated at $148.62 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.85, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.84% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.70%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$148.62
▲ 433.64% upside
20% margin of safety: $118.90
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.84%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.9%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

70/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
433.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
23.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.9% vs WACC 9.0% (0.2x)
11
Net Debt / FCF
0.6x net debt to FCF
89
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
40.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

51/100
Weak
+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (29th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 49%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 12 (12 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
11 news sentiment+0.1
Regulatory scrutiny+0.0

Trend Details

37/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+52.0%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-26.2%
Price vs 50 EMA-6.0%
Price vs 21 EMA25 · -4.3%
Price vs 50 EMA22 · -6.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA35 · -1.8%
3M RS vs SPY1 · -26.2%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +52.0%
Distance from 52W High64 · -17.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Liberty Energy Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value over 545% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a healthy free cash flow yield of 22.8%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's constructive fundamentals and robust free cash flow growth present a compelling buy opportunity.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital remaining below its weighted average cost of capital, which could undermine value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 11.84%5 Year CAGR: 25.59%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
$1,044$1,205$1,480$1,618$990$334$189$456$610$507$62$45

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Liberty Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Liberty Energy Inc.Energy

Liberty Energy Inc. operates across North America, delivering crucial hydraulic fracturing and wireline services, along with associated products, to land-based companies focused on oil and natural gas exploration and production. Its extensive service portfolio encompasses specialized hydraulic fracturing pressure pumping, including both general pressure pumping and pumpdown perforating services. The company also provides advanced wireline solutions, efficient proppant delivery systems, sophisticated data analytics, and a variety of related technologies and supplies. Further augmenting its capabilities, Liberty Energy owns and operates two sand mines strategically located in the prolific Permian Basin. As of the close of 2021, the company maintained approximately 30 active frac fleets. Liberty Energy's primary operational focus is centered in major North American unconventional resource plays, including the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin. Originally founded in 2011 as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc., the company officially adopted its current name, Liberty Energy Inc., in April 2022. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Denver, Colorado.

Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq