Market Pulse50Neutral

Centrus Energy Corp.Opportunity Rank #219(LEU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$193.61

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$193.61
Price
$35.01
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 82%MOS: $28.01

Fundamental Score

43/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

46/100
Weak

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $35.01 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $193.61, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.16% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.75%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $35.01 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $193.61, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.16% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.75%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$35.01
▼ -81.92% downside
20% margin of safety: $28.01
Years: 10Growth Rate: -57.16%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
129.75%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

43/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
81.9% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.9% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 129.8% vs WACC 11.0% (11.8x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
0.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

46/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (2nd pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 91%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 60 (56 News · 4 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
10 regulatory scrutiny-0.5
45 news sentiment+0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 18h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 67%
Thesis
Centrus Energy Corp. is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 82% above estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and a low free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Despite a strong ROIC exceeding its cost of capital by 118.8 points, the overall bearish fundamental score suggests caution.
Key Risk
The primary risk is that the stock price remains elevated despite poor fundamentals, potentially leading to substantial downside if market sentiment shifts.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • ROIC remains consistently above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters
  • Narrative trend shows meaningful improvement in fundamental scores
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -57.16%5 Year CAGR: 6.67%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$71$71$41$11$21$51$69$11-$74-$25$41$9-$110$81$147$209$185$885$337$246$323

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Centrus Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Centrus Energy Corp.Energy

Centrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel and services for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, Belgium, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) component of LEU; SWU and natural uranium components of LEU; and natural uranium for utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services to public and private sector customers, including the American Centrifuge engineering and testing activities. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.