Market Pulse59Neutral

monday.com Ltd.Opportunity Rank #104(MNDY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$76.39

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$76.39
Price
$232.56
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 204%MOS: $186.05

Fundamental Score

86/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

65/100
Improving

+1 vs previous

Trend Score

24/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is estimated at $232.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $76.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 15.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is estimated at $232.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $76.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 15.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$232.56
▲ 204.44% upside
20% margin of safety: $186.05
Years: 10Growth Rate: 15.00%
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Fundamental Details

86/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
204.4% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
9.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC vs WACC unavailable
50
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
230.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

65/100
Improving
+1 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:High (94th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 212 (194 News · 18 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
164 legal risk+1.2
27 news sentiment+0.3
4 analyst downgrades-0.0
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
14 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

24/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-77.1%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-71.4%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-33.3%
Price vs 21 EMA63 · +2.2%
Price vs 50 EMA28 · -4.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA9 · -6.7%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -33.3%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -71.4%
Distance from 52W High0 · -77.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
monday.com Ltd. is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate 204% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a healthy free cash flow yield of 9.2% and robust growth in free cash flow. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's overall fundamental and narrative scores indicate a bullish and stable outlook.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may pressure returns and valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 43.34%5 Year CAGR: 64.45%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$362$354$326$226$46$30-$32-$35

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates monday.com Ltd.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

monday.com Ltd.Technology

monday.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops software applications in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It provides Work OS, a cloud-based visual work operating system that consists of modular building blocks used and assembled to create software applications and work management tools. The company also offers product solutions for marketing, CRM, project management, software development, and other fields; and business development, presale, and customer success services. It serves organizations, educational or government institution, and distinct business unit of an organization. The company was formerly known as DaPulse Labs Ltd. and changed its name to monday.com Ltd. in November 2017. monday.com Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.