Market Pulse44Neutral

monday.com Ltd.Opportunity Rank #127(MNDY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$70.36

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$70.36
Price
$237.78
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 238%MOS: $190.22

Fundamental Score

86/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

50/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

19/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is estimated at $237.78 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $70.36, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 15.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.74%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is estimated at $237.78 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $70.36, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 15.00% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.74%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$237.78
▲ 237.95% upside
20% margin of safety: $190.22
Years: 10Growth Rate: 15.00%
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Fundamental Details

86/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
237.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
9.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC vs WACC unavailable
50
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
228.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

50/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (28th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 87%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 128 (118 News · 10 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
38 news sentiment-0.1
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
77 legal risk+0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
9 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

19/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-77.6%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-62.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-19.5%
Price vs 21 EMA7 · -9.6%
Price vs 50 EMA12 · -9.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA50 · -0.0%
3M RS vs SPY4 · -19.5%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -62.2%
Distance from 52W High0 · -77.6%

Investment Coach

Updating... 11d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
monday.com Ltd. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 193.9% above its current price, supported by a strong fundamental score of 73 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 8.4%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company shows robust free cash flow growth and effective buybacks, indicating potential for substantial upside.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may indicate that the company is not generating sufficient returns above its cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 42.89%5 Year CAGR: 63.19%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$349$357$326$226$46$30-$32-$35

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates monday.com Ltd.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

monday.com Ltd.Technology

monday.com Ltd., along with its affiliated entities, designs and provides software solutions for a global market, spanning the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other international regions. Its flagship offering is Work OS, an intuitive cloud-native visual work operating system constructed from configurable modules. This platform empowers users to assemble bespoke software applications and effective work management tools. The company further supplies dedicated product solutions catering to various functions, including marketing, customer relationship management (CRM), project coordination, and software engineering. Additionally, monday.com delivers comprehensive business development, presales, and customer support services. Its client base is broad, encompassing diverse organizations, educational and governmental institutions, and specific business divisions within larger enterprises. Founded in 2012, the firm was initially known as DaPulse Labs Ltd. before rebranding to monday.com Ltd. in November 2017. It maintains its corporate headquarters in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.