NKE

$62.70

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 4.31% trendline growth.
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$37.28

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$29.82
-52.43% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
4.75%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
31
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
52.4% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.9% trailing FCF yield
48
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 4.8% vs WACC 10.0% (0.5x)
24
Net Debt / FCF
0.1x net debt to FCF
99
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
0.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
33
Broken
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days+1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline: Below Avg (37th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 221 (News 200 · Analyst 21)
Drivers
146 news sentiment-1.3
5 layoffs-0.4
Upgrade headlines+0.3
2 legal risk-0.1
4 margin pressure-0.1
6 downgrade headlines-0.1
Other Metrics
P/E36.7
Profit Margin5.4%
Owner Earnings$3.73b
One Dollar Premise94.00%
Debt/Equity1.73
Current Ratio2.16
PEG-2.983
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$2,002$2,192$2,386$2,192$3,499$2,244$2,496$3,663$3,883$5,643$4,239$4,745$5,983$7,022$3,571$7,352$5,946$6,810$8,241$3,637
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates NIKE, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

NIKE, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells men's, women's, and kids athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories worldwide. The company provides athletic and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories under the Jumpman trademark; and casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories under the Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. In addition, it sells a line of performance equipment and accessories comprising bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities under the NIKE brand; and various plastic products to other manufacturers. The company markets apparel with licensed college and professional team, and league logos, as well as sells sports apparel. Additionally, it licenses unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell apparel, digital devices, and applications and other equipment for sports activities under NIKE-owned trademarks. The company sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other retail accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.