Market Pulse59Neutral

ServiceNow, Inc.Opportunity Rank #70(NOW) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$93.59

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$93.59
Price
$162.41
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 74%MOS: $129.93

Fundamental Score

81/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

16/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) is estimated at $162.41 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $93.59, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.47% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.31%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) is estimated at $162.41 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $93.59, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.47% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.31%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$162.41
73.53% upside
20% margin of safety: $129.93
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.47%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.41%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

81/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
73.5% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
6.5% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.6x)
30
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
23.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (83rd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 241 (200 News · 41 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
148 news sentiment+2.0
41 regulatory scrutiny+1.5
2 upgrade headlines+0.4
6 downgrade headlines-0.4
2 earnings beat+0.2
Analyst downgrades-0.0

Trend Details

16/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-56.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-57.0%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-16.3%
Price vs 21 EMA35 · -2.4%
Price vs 50 EMA11 · -9.8%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA7 · -7.5%
3M RS vs SPY6 · -16.3%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -57.0%
Distance from 52W High0 · -56.4%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 72%
Thesis
ServiceNow, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value nearly 80% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a robust narrative score. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's free cash flow growth and buyback activities indicate solid financial health and growth potential.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may pressure returns and valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Valuation discount remaining above 10%
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 9.47%5 Year CAGR: 19.23%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009
$6,241$6,312$5,119$4,092$3,273$2,590$2,219$1,574$1,060$800$288$404$193$137$91$46-$6$1

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates ServiceNow, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

ServiceNow, Inc.Technology

ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise cloud computing solutions that defines, structures, consolidates, manages, and automates services for enterprises worldwide. It operates the Now platform for workflow automation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotic process automation, performance analytics, electronic service catalogs and portals, configuration management systems, data benchmarking, encryption, and collaboration and development tools. The company also provides information technology (IT) service management applications; IT service management product suite for enterprise's employees, customers, and partners; IT business management product suite; IT operations management product that connects a customer's physical and cloud-based IT infrastructure; IT Asset Management to automate IT asset lifecycles; and security operations that connects with internal and third party. In addition, it offers governance, risk, and compliance product to manage risk and resilience; human resources, legal, and workplace service delivery products; safe workplace applications; customer service management product; and field service management applications. Further, it provides App Engine product; IntegrationHub enables application to extend workflows; and professional, industry solutions, and customer support services. It serves government, financial services, healthcare, telecommunications, manufacturing, IT services, technology, oil and gas, education, and consumer products through direct sales team and resale partners. It has a strategic partnership with Celonis to help customers identify and prioritize processes that are suitable for automation. The company was formerly known as Service-now.com and changed its name to ServiceNow, Inc. in May 2012. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.