Market Pulse59Neutral

Navitas Semiconductor CorporationOpportunity Rank #239(NVTS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$15.79

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$15.79
Price
$0.75
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 95%MOS: $0.60

Fundamental Score

5/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

68/100
Improving

+6 vs previous

Trend Score

99/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) is estimated at $0.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.79, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -42.46% long-term growth rate and a 12.15% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) is estimated at $0.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.79, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -42.46% long-term growth rate and a 12.15% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.75
▼ -95.25% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.60
Years: 10Growth Rate: -42.46%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-6.55%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

5/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
95.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-1.2% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -6.5% vs WACC 7.0% (-0.9x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.9x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-47.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

68/100
Improving
+6 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:High (100th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 49 (44 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
Earnings beat+0.6
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.6
39 news sentiment+0.6
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

99/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+98.6%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+75.7%
Price vs 50 EMA+43.4%
Price vs 21 EMA99 · +20.5%
Price vs 50 EMA100 · +43.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA100 · +19.0%
3M RS vs SPY100 · +98.6%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +75.7%
Distance from 52W High97 · -1.7%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price nearly 95% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals including a negative ROIC spread and negative free cash flow yield. The company's financial performance is deteriorating, with returns trailing the cost of capital and a declining free cash flow CAGR.
Key Risk
The primary risk is that the company's financial and operational metrics fail to improve, leading to continued value erosion and poor shareholder returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -42.46%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -28.26%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
-$44-$41-$52-$37-$40-$40-$20-$18

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Navitas Semiconductor Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Navitas Semiconductor CorporationTechnology

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation designs, develops, and sells gallium nitride (GaN) power integrated circuits in China, the United States, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.