PM

$182.00

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 2.18% trendline growth.
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$207.36

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$165.89
-8.85% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
9.85%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
44
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
8.9% premium to price
35
FCF Yield
4.6% trailing FCF yield
64
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 9.9% vs WACC 7.0% (1.4x)
70
Net Debt / FCF
3.6x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
3.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC. Concerns: DCF Discount, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
73
Improving
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 days+8 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (100th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 106 (News 103 · Analyst 3)
Drivers
52 news sentiment+1.9
Earnings beat+0.6
50 regulatory scrutiny-0.1
Analyst downgrades-0.1
2 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E32.9
Profit Margin21.6%
Owner Earnings$12.01b
One Dollar Premise102.00%
Debt/Equity-6.59
Current Ratio0.83
PEG6.949
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$5,894$7,122$6,661$9,034$8,599$10,150$11,426$10,477$11,335$8,892$8,825$9,249$10,460$10,914$10,942$10,414$12,715$11,880$10,525$12,929
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Philip Morris International Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Philip Morris International Inc.Consumer Defensive

Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company working to delivers a smoke-free future and evolving portfolio for the long-term to include products outside of the tobacco and nicotine sector. The company's product portfolio primarily consists of cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, vapor, and oral nicotine products that are sold in markets outside the United States. The company offers its smoke-free products under the HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro, HEETS FROM MARLBORO, Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks, Parliament HeatSticks, and TEREA brands, as well as the KT&G-licensed brands, Fiit, and Miix. It also sells its products under the Marlboro, Parliament, Bond Street, Chesterfield, L&M, Lark, and Philip Morris brands. In addition, the company owns various cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A, and Sampoerna U in Indonesia; and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines. The company sells its smoke-free products in 71 markets. Philip Morris International Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.