PTON

$4.39

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -62.63% trendline growth.
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$0.88

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$0.70
-83.96% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
68.88%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
58
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
84.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
21.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 68.9% vs WACC 7.0% (9.8x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-3.9% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF CAGR (5Y).
Narrative Score
24
Broken
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 days+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: Low (6th pct)
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 58 (News 51 · Analyst 7)
Drivers
2 earnings miss-1.1
5 regulatory scrutiny-1.1
42 news sentiment-0.7
2 upgrade headlines+0.3
7 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E-36.0
Profit Margin-2.1%
Owner Earnings$3.40m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity-6.40
Current Ratio1.83
PEG-0.694
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
201720182019202020212022202320242025
-$8$78-$26$533$13-$1,683-$305-$46$370
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Peloton Interactive, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Peloton Interactive, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides interactive fitness products in North America and internationally. It offers connected fitness products with touchscreen that streams live and on-demand classes under the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, and Peloton Tread+ names. The company also provides connected fitness subscriptions for various household users, and access to various live and on-demand classes, as well as Peloton Digital app for connected fitness subscribers to provide access to its classes. As of June 30, 2021, it had approximately 5.9 million members. The company markets and sells its interactive fitness products directly through its retail showrooms and at onepeloton.com. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.