Market Pulse59Neutral

Ferrari N.V.Opportunity Rank #57(RACE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$339.69

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$339.69
Price
$960.06
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 183%MOS: $768.05

Fundamental Score

83/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

70/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

33/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Ferrari N.V. (RACE) is estimated at $960.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $339.69, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.41%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Ferrari N.V. (RACE) is estimated at $960.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $339.69, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.41%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$960.06
182.63% upside
20% margin of safety: $768.05
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.17%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
8.08%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

83/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
182.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
11.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 8.1% vs WACC 10.0% (0.8x)
40
Net Debt / FCF
0.2x net debt to FCF
97
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
29.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

70/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (77th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 87%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 50 (48 News · 2 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
30 news sentiment+2.1
3 earnings beat-0.2
13 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
2 upgrade headlines+0.0
2 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

33/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-25.3%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-5.0%
Distance from 52-Week High-34.4%
Price vs 21 EMA43 · -1.2%
Price vs 50 EMA39 · -2.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA42 · -1.0%
3M RS vs SPY30 · -5.0%
6M RS vs SPY6 · -25.3%
Distance from 52W High31 · -34.4%

Investment Coach

Updated 16h ago
BUYConfidence: 69%
Thesis
Ferrari N.V. (RACE) is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value nearly 196% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and an improving narrative. The company demonstrates robust free cash flow growth and effective buybacks, indicating potential for substantial shareholder returns.
Key Risk
Returns are currently trailing the estimated cost of capital, which may pressure valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 9.17%5 Year CAGR: 22.76%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012
$6,608$6,689$3,421$3,034$2,591$2,370$1,815$1,946$1,845$1,237$1,581$1,247$887$851$846

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Ferrari N.V.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Ferrari N.V.Consumer Cyclical

Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, produces, and sells luxury performance sports cars. The company offers sports, GT, and special series cars; limited edition hyper cars; one-off and track cars; and Icona cars. It also provides racing cars, and spare parts and engines, as well as after sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services for cars. In addition, the company licenses its Ferrari brand to various producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods; Ferrari World, a theme park in Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates; and Ferrari Land Portaventura, a theme park in Europe. Further, it provides direct or indirect finance and leasing services to retail clients and dealers; manages racetracks, as well as owns and manages two museums in Maranello and Modena, Italy; and develops and sells a line of apparel and accessories through its monobrand stores. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total of 30 retail Ferrari stores, including 14 franchised stores and 16 owned stores. The company also sells its products through a network of 172 authorized dealers operating 191 points of sale worldwide, as well as through its website, store.ferrari.com. Ferrari N.V. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy.