Rocket Lab USA, Inc.Opportunity Rank #241(RKLB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$100.29
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is estimated at $2.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $100.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is estimated at $2.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $100.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.17% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Watch for the stock price to move to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- Track the ROIC versus WACC spread for signs of sustained improvement.
- Follow the narrative trend for meaningful shifts in score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Rocket Lab USA, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.Industrials
Headquartered in Long Beach, California, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is a prominent aerospace firm established in 2006. This company delivers a comprehensive suite of space-related services and hardware, primarily catering to the space and defense industries. Their operations encompass orbital launch capabilities, advanced spacecraft engineering and construction, production of various spacecraft components, and sophisticated on-orbit management services, including full constellation management. Rocket Lab is known for developing and producing a range of launch vehicles, from small to medium-class rockets. Key products include the highly successful Electron small orbital launch vehicle and the versatile Photon satellite platforms, both of which they design, manufacture, and market. Furthermore, the company is actively developing the larger Neutron launch vehicle, capable of carrying 8-ton payloads. Beyond manufacturing, they also conduct remote launch operations and craft specialized components and subsystems for both their Photon spacecraft family and the broader commercial spacecraft market. Their diverse clientele spans commercial enterprises, major aerospace contractors, and governmental entities.