RRGB

$3.53

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -4.11% trendline growth.
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$20.60

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$16.48
366.86% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
-2.47%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
43
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
366.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
83.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -2.5% vs WACC 7.0% (-0.4x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
9.5x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-8.8% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
50
Weak
Weighted across 2 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Average (47th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 48%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 3 (News 2 · Analyst 1)
Drivers
2 news sentiment+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E-1.2
Profit Margin-4.3%
Owner Earnings$29.66m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity-8.10
Current Ratio0.47
PEG-0.238
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$149$174$171$174$139$106$140$154$192$231$307$263$240$177$115$42$90$74$48$53
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises full-service and casual-dining restaurants. The company's restaurants primarily offer burgers and shareable pizzas; various appetizers, salads, soups, sandwiches, seafood, and other entrees; and desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. As of December 26, 2021, it operated approximately 531 Red Robin restaurants, including 430 were company-owned and 101 were operated by franchisees in the United States and one Canadian province. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is based in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.