SBUX

$96.07

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.11% trendline growth.
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$109.62

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$87.70
-8.72% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
6.94%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
56
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
8.7% premium to price
35
FCF Yield
5.7% trailing FCF yield
92
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.9% vs WACC 7.0% (1.0x)
50
Net Debt / FCF
3.5x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
15.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
81
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 198 (News 180 · Analyst 18)
Drivers
145 news sentiment+4.0
18 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
3 earnings miss+0.5
3 margin pressure+0.4
2 upgrade headlines+0.1
2 analyst upgrades+0.1
Other Metrics
P/E79.9
Profit Margin3.6%
Owner Earnings$5.05b
One Dollar Premise204.00%
Debt/Equity-5.07
Current Ratio0.80
PEG-3.046
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$1,903$2,412$2,243$1,835$2,146$2,144$2,576$4,060$1,769$5,053$6,015$5,694$13,914$6,854$3,081$7,459$6,239$8,342$8,873$6,209
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Starbucks Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Starbucks CorporationConsumer Cyclical

Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee worldwide. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee and tea beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, single serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi brands. As of October 3, 2021, it operated 16,826 company-operated and licensed stores in North America; and 17,007 company-operated and licensed stores internationally. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.