Market Pulse44Neutral

Stitch Fix, Inc.Opportunity Rank #92(SFIX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$4.01

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$4.01
Price
$4.25
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 6%MOS: $3.40

Fundamental Score

40/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

74/100
Strong

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

66/100
Constructive

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is estimated at $4.25 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $4.01, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -3.74% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is estimated at $4.25 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $4.01, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -3.74% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$4.25
▲ 5.99% upside
20% margin of safety: $3.40
Years: 10Growth Rate: -3.74%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-9.68%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

40/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
6.0% discount to price
60
FCF Yield
10.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -9.7% vs WACC 9.0% (-1.1x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-2.8% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: FCF Yield, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

74/100
Strong
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:High (97th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 71%Updated: 17m ago
Sources: 24 (23 News · 1 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
17 news sentiment+2.1
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.4
Margin pressure-0.1
Earnings beat-0.0
Analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

66/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-34.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+11.3%
Price vs 50 EMA+9.8%
Price vs 21 EMA83 · +6.6%
Price vs 50 EMA87 · +9.8%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA73 · +3.1%
3M RS vs SPY87 · +11.3%
6M RS vs SPY2 · -34.2%
Distance from 52W High38 · -31.2%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
BUYConfidence: 52%
Thesis
Stitch Fix, Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value 23.9% above its current price, supported by a healthy free cash flow yield of 11.4% and a net cash balance sheet. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the improving narrative trend suggests potential for positive momentum.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains significantly below its weighted average cost of capital, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -3.74%5 Year CAGR: 23.30%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
$56$41$42$77$102$20$73$109$89$56$60

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Stitch Fix, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Stitch Fix, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Stitch Fix, Inc. functions as an online retailer, providing a diverse selection of clothing, footwear, and accessories throughout the United States. Its product offerings, available via its website and mobile application, encompass items like denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags, all marketed under the proprietary Stitch Fix brand and catering to men, women, and children. Established in 2011, the company was initially known as rack habit inc. before formally rebranding to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October of that year. Its corporate base is located in San Francisco, California.