Trex Company, Inc.Opportunity Rank #86(TREX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$42.38
Last updated: Jul 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-24
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The intrinsic value of Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) is estimated at $88.16 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $42.38, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.07% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.61%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) is estimated at $88.16 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $42.38, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.07% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.61%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
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Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Trex Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Trex Company, Inc.Industrials
Trex Company, Inc. is a leading U.S. manufacturer and distributor specializing in outdoor living products for both residential and commercial applications. The company's operations are segmented into Trex Residential and Trex Commercial. For its residential clientele, Trex offers a diverse selection of composite decking under names like Trex Transcend, Trex Select, and Trex Enhance, designed for superior resistance against fading, staining, mold, and scratching. Complementing these are the Trex Hideaway hidden fastening system and Trex DeckLighting, which provides dimmable LED lighting for various deck elements. Trex also provides a range of railing systems, including the versatile Trex Transcend Railing, the sleek Trex Select Railing, the Trex Enhance Railing system, and the modern Trex Signature aluminum railing. Furthermore, their residential offerings extend to Trex Seclusions, a comprehensive fencing solution complete with structural components and decorative post caps. In the commercial sector, Trex designs and engineers advanced architectural and aluminum railing systems, alongside staging equipment and accessories. These products cater to a wide array of projects, from general commercial developments to specialized venues like sports stadiums and performing arts centers. Beyond its core manufacturing, Trex extends its brand influence through licensing agreements, enabling third parties to produce and market a variety of Trex-branded outdoor lifestyle products. This portfolio includes items such as Trex Outdoor Furniture, the Trex RainEscape above-joist deck drainage system, Trex Pergola, Trex Latticeworks, Trex Cornhole boards, the specialized Diablo Trex Blade for composite decking, Trex SpiralStairs, and Trex Outdoor Kitchens, Cabinetry, and Storage solutions. Trex employs a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling its products through wholesale distributors, independent retail lumber dealers, and major home improvement chains like Home Depot and Lowe's. The company also leverages its direct sales force, works with independent sales representatives, and actively bids on various projects. Established in 1996, Trex Company, Inc. is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.