TSLA

$397.21

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 8.00% trendline growth.
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$94.35

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$75.48
-81.00% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.14%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
36
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
81.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.8% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.1% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
13
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
20.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 223 (News 200 · Analyst 23)
Drivers
168 news sentiment+2.7
27 regulatory scrutiny+2.5
2 legal risk-0.4
Margin pressure-0.2
2 downgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E338.3
Profit Margin4.0%
Owner Earnings$18.47b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity0.66
Current Ratio2.07
PEG-12.060
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$3-$44-$42-$69-$88$84-$25$529$913$1,110$1,317$4,020$4,417$3,842$9,185$19,511$21,896$22,155$26,265$23,274
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Tesla, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Tesla, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.