UAL

$106.09

Public overview and default valuation.

Log in to track this stock.

Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 6.27% trendline growth.
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.
$1,130.53

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$904.42
752.51% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
3.02%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
66
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
752.5% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
41.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.0% vs WACC 11.0% (0.3x)
14
Net Debt / FCF
1.3x net debt to FCF
51
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
599.2% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.
Narrative Score
65
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Average (47th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 91%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 110 (News 100 · Analyst 10)
Drivers
88 news sentiment+1.7
6 regulatory scrutiny-0.1
Earnings beat-0.0
Legal risk-0.0
3 upgrade headlines+0.0
Margin pressure-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E10.4
Profit Margin5.7%
Owner Earnings$12.17b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity4.51
Current Ratio0.70
PEG5.505
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$1,901$2,792-$824$1,283$2,278$3,108$2,951$3,608$4,639$8,739$8,765$7,344$10,234$11,437-$2,406$4,174$10,885$14,082$15,060$14,305
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates United Airlines Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.Industrials

United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America. The company transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. It also offers catering, ground handling, training, and maintenance services for third parties. The company was formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to United Airlines Holdings, Inc. in June 2019. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.