Market Pulse44Neutral

Uber Technologies, Inc.Opportunity Rank #37(UBER) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$71.43

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$71.43
Price
$119.82
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 68%MOS: $95.86

Fundamental Score

83/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

79/100
Strong

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

30/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $119.82 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $71.43, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.50% long-term growth rate and a 9.03% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $119.82 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $71.43, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.50% long-term growth rate and a 9.03% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$119.82
67.74% upside
20% margin of safety: $95.86
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.50%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
7.9%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

83/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
67.7% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
7.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 7.9% vs WACC 9.0% (0.9x)
44
Net Debt / FCF
0.4x net debt to FCF
92
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
560.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

79/100
Strong
-1 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (27th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 214 (200 News · 14 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
180 news sentiment+2.3
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.8
4 legal risk-0.1
2 layoffs-0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Earnings beat+0.0

Trend Details

30/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-18.1%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-20.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA-1.6%
Price vs 21 EMA48 · -0.3%
Price vs 50 EMA40 · -2.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA37 · -1.6%
3M RS vs SPY5 · -18.1%
6M RS vs SPY9 · -20.6%
Distance from 52W High43 · -28.6%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
BUYConfidence: 69%
Thesis
Uber Technologies, Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value 81.2% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a bullish score of 83. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's free cash flow growth and buyback activity indicate potential for value realization.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to sustained value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 30.69%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 538.37%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
$10,453$10,435$7,379$3,808$894-$147-$2,129-$3,733-$983-$589-$1,278

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Uber Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Uber Technologies, Inc.Technology

Uber Technologies, Inc. is a leading technology corporation that conceptualizes and deploys its proprietary software applications across a broad global footprint, spanning North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company primarily serves as a digital nexus, linking consumers with independent transport providers for ride-hailing services. Furthermore, it connects individuals and other patrons with a variety of establishments—such as restaurants, grocery stores, and other retailers—to a network of delivery service providers for the preparation and transport of meals, groceries, and other goods. The organization structures its operations into three distinct divisions: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility division facilitates access for consumers to a wide array of transportation options offered by drivers, including traditional cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. This segment also incorporates financial collaborations, public transit integrations, and various vehicle-centric solutions. The Delivery division empowers users to easily locate and place orders from local eateries for either collection or delivery. Additionally, it encompasses the delivery of groceries, alcoholic beverages, convenience items, and a selection of other merchandise. The Freight division functions by pairing freight carriers with shippers through its platform, providing carriers with clear, pre-disclosed pricing and streamlined shipment booking capabilities, alongside broader transportation management and logistics services. Originally incorporated as Ubercab, Inc., the company officially adopted the name Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. It was established in 2009 and maintains its principal offices in San Francisco, California.