Market Pulse50Neutral

Uber Technologies, Inc.Opportunity Rank #23(UBER) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$75.12

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$75.12
Price
$115.77
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 54%MOS: $92.62

Fundamental Score

86/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $115.77 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $75.12, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.76% long-term growth rate and a 9.24% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $115.77 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $75.12, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.76% long-term growth rate and a 9.24% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$115.77
54.11% upside
20% margin of safety: $92.62
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.76%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
9.56%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

86/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
54.1% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
6.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 9.6% vs WACC 9.0% (1.1x)
53
Net Debt / FCF
0.4x net debt to FCF
93
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
560.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (64th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 224 (200 News · 24 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
175 news sentiment+8.3
20 regulatory scrutiny+1.5
Upgrade headlines+0.2
Earnings beat+0.0
2 legal risk-0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 15h ago
BUYConfidence: 78%
Thesis
Uber Technologies, Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value 56.7% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a high fundamental score of 86 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 6.7%. The company's improving narrative and positive ROIC versus WACC spread further reinforce its bullish outlook.
Key Risk
A sustained narrowing or reversal of the valuation discount or deterioration in ROIC versus WACC spread could undermine the investment thesis.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 30.69%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 538.15%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
$10,435$10,435$7,379$3,808$894-$147-$2,129-$3,733-$983-$589-$1,278

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Uber Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Uber Technologies, Inc.Technology

Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services; and connects riders and other consumers with restaurants, grocers, and other stores with delivery service providers for meal preparation, grocery, and other delivery services. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment provides products that connect consumers with mobility drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also offers financial partnerships, transit, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered; and offers grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery, as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment, as well as transportation management and other logistics services offerings. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.