United Parcel Service, Inc.Opportunity Rank #64(UPS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$107.21
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
+1 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is estimated at $224.64 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $107.21, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.32% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.06%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is estimated at $224.64 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $107.21, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.32% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.06%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates United Parcel Service, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
United Parcel Service, Inc.Industrials
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) stands as a leading global entity in shipping and logistics, delivering an extensive array of services such as parcel and document conveyance, transportation of goods, and supply chain management. The corporation structures its widespread operations into two principal divisions: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. Within the United States, its Domestic Package unit specializes in time-guaranteed delivery for a range of items, including correspondence, critical paperwork, smaller parcels, and palletized cargo, utilizing both air and surface transportation methods. Conversely, the International Package division ensures reliable, precise-time international shipping services across extensive geographical areas, encompassing Europe, the Asia Pacific region, Canada, Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment notably features guaranteed express options for urgent consignments. Beyond core package services, UPS extends its reach to roughly 200 nations and jurisdictions, offering international air and sea cargo forwarding, expert customs clearance, distribution and after-sales support, alongside postal and advisory solutions. Furthermore, its diversified portfolio includes truckload transport brokering; tailored supply chain management for the healthcare and life sciences sectors; sophisticated shipping, tracking, and invoicing technologies; and a suite of financial and insurance offerings. Supporting these extensive operations is an impressive operational fleet of around 121,000 vehicles, comprising package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles. Additionally, it possesses 59,000 specialized containers integral for cargo transport aboard its aircraft. Established in 1907, United Parcel Service, Inc. has its corporate headquarters situated in Atlanta, Georgia.