WM

$226.60

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 3.99% trendline growth.
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$582.92

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$466.34
105.80% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.63%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
61
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
105.8% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
10.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.6% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
12
Net Debt / FCF
2.4x net debt to FCF
17
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
13.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
90
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
78
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline: High (94th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 89%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 105 (News 91 · Analyst 14)
Drivers
36 regulatory scrutiny+1.8
53 news sentiment+1.1
Earnings miss-0.1
Analyst downgrades-0.1
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Earnings beat+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E33.7
Profit Margin10.7%
Owner Earnings$8.87b
One Dollar Premise49.00%
Debt/Equity3.86
Current Ratio0.86
PEG6.139
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$3,869$3,650$3,796$3,541$3,379$3,793$3,805$3,726$3,482$3,731$4,299$4,689$5,264$5,692$5,035$6,242$7,123$7,614$8,621$9,270
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Waste Management, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Waste Management, Inc.Industrials

Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides waste management environmental services to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in North America. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, material recovery facility (MRF), or disposal site; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the United States, as well as owns and operates transfer stations. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned or operated 255 solid waste landfills; 5 secure hazardous waste landfills; 96 MRFs; and 340 transfer stations. It also provides materials processing and commodities recycling services; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company offers construction and remediation services; services related with the disposal of fly ash, and residue generated from the combustion of coal and other fuel stocks; in-plant services comprising full-service waste management solutions and consulting services; and specialized disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.