XOM

$146.00

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -0.10% trendline growth.
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$500.96

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$400.77
174.50% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.58%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
76
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
174.5% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
13.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.6% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
16
Net Debt / FCF
0.7x net debt to FCF
85
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
20.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (92th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 5h ago
Sources: 218 (News 200 · Analyst 18)
Drivers
162 news sentiment+4.7
28 regulatory scrutiny+1.1
5 earnings beat+0.4
Earnings miss-0.3
Downgrade headlines+0.1
2 legal risk-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E22.1
Profit Margin8.9%
Owner Earnings$83.20b
One Dollar Premise58.00%
Debt/Equity0.70
Current Ratio1.19
PEG0.221
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$64,748$67,389$79,043$50,929$75,284$86,320$90,441$78,583$78,068$56,834$38,245$45,468$55,588$54,077$31,950$60,205$95,204$77,288$79,328$80,328
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Exxon Mobil Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Exxon Mobil CorporationEnergy

Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical segments. The company is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; manufactures and sells petrochemicals, including olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and various other petrochemicals; and captures and stores carbon, hydrogen, and biofuels. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 20,528 net operated wells with proved reserves. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.